Oscar Nomination Suspictions (and edited with reality check)

… I am not playing the “prediction” game anymore, but I will share what I feel might be nominated.

BOLDED, actual nominees.

Best Picture (8 nominees) (they were 9)

  • Call me by your name
  • Dunkirk
  • The Florida Project
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • The Post
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

… if 9, “The Big Sick” or “Phantom Thread” or “Darkest Hour” (reminds me of “Capote”)

Best Director

  • Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
  • Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
  • Jordan Peele, Get Out
  • Steven Spielberg, The Post
  • Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

alternates: Paul Thomas Anderson, “Phantom Thread”; Martin McDonagh, “Three Billboards” and Luca Guadagnino, “Call me by your name”

 

Best Actress

  • Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
  • Frances McDormand, Three Billboards
  • Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
  • Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
  • Meryl Streep, The Post

alternate: Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game (over Robbie or Streep)

 

Best Actor

  • Timothée Chalamet, Call me by your name
  • Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
  • Tom Hanks, The Post
  • Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
  • Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

alternates: Denzell Washington, Roman Israel ESQ and James Franco, The Disaster Artist (but those accusations of sexual harassment before voting just derail his chances).

 

Best Supporting Actress

  • Mary J Blige, Mudbound
  • Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
  • Allison Janey, I, Tonya
  • Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
  • Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

 

alternates: Hong Chau, Downsizing (but the movie tanked with critics) and Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread

 

Best Supporting Actor

  • Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
  • Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards
  • Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
  • Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards
  • Michael Stuhlbarg, Call me by your name

alternates: Arnie Hammer, Call me by your name; Christopher Plummer, All the money in the world and Patrick Stewart, Logan

 

Best Original Screenplay

  • The Big Sick
  • Get Out
  • Lady Bird
  • The Shape of Water
  • Three Billboards outside of Ebbing, Missouri

alternates: Phantom Thread, The Post and I, Tonya

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Call me by your name
  • Molly’s Game
  • Mudbound
  • Wonder
  • Wonder Woman

alternate: The Disaster Artist (which I think it’s done due to the Franco’s scandal) I missed Logan, which I thought too good to be true, and that it would not get in, over Wonder Woman

Short reviews (catching up)

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Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missoury *** 1/2 / C+

Maybe the overrated film of the year. It’s not without merit, and some interest, but this attempt to recapture the spirit of “Fargo” in a “Crash” key (2005’s, not the masterpiece by David Cronenbert), feels continuously forced, the situations don’t feel earned too many times, the violence goes over the top too easily and there’s an anger that requires huge suspension of disbelief, as the “ex machina” situation that propels the last quarter of the film into the ending, just when the movie seemed to not be going anywhere. Woody Harrelson is the stand out, followed by Peter Dinklage, McDormand and Rockwell have the easier roles, but as they seem to be the showiest, both are in the frontrunner status for earning Oscar gold, which I honestly think don’t deserve for this one. I’ve seen them both do better, in more interesting roles and films.

 

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Thor Ragnarok ***** / A-

Basically, the film that the MCU (and Thor) needed. A pumped up – in fun – Guardians of the Galaxy, whithout renouncing to the spirit of the source. Chris Hemsworth is allowed to finally shine in his comedic timing, star and center of the comedy (in Ghostbusters he quite outshined his costars way too often, for a non-comedian) and gives a twist to a franchise that was aimed to be a trilogy, and that we’re unexpecedly feeling it deserves way more from this… as long as the genius of Taika Waititi continues with it. Everyone involved is excellent, sets and costumes, visual effects, everything is extraordinary and it sets a new bar of what the superhero genre can achieve. One of the year’s best films, also.

 

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The Disaster Artist **** / B

Fuelled by an outstanding James Franco impersonation of Tommy Wisseau, the film certainly trascends the anecdotic situation, mesmerizing the spirit of Tim Burton’s “Ed Wood”, but certainly also, there’s little more than a surface of friendship and achieving success in the unexpected way. On filmmaking level, Franco does not impress that much beyond the point that his direction doesn’t attract attention to itself, which is certainly no small achievement anyways, but the film becomes more enjoyable than important when the dust settles.

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It **** / B

So far, among the best Stephen King adaptations to date. It’s no “The Shinning”, nor “Carrie”, though, but certainly up there among the ones that needs to be seen. I’m holding a better grade, mostly because it’s the first half of the final film, and I think it deserves to be judged as one. But so far, it’s pretty great.

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Star Wars: The Last Jedi ** 1/2 / D

Yes, it’s the best Star Wars film in visuals, by a landslide. But it is also a mess that continuously jumps the shark, and that only got me interested in the Casino planet part, when it dared to do some social and political commentary… have we forgotten that a WAR has motivations? I’m as much in shock by the general critical reception of this film, as I was in the even worse “The Force Awakens”. Thankfully, “Rogue One” gave me hopes to finally see another great Star Wars film again. Some day. Not this one.

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Justice League *** / C

So, this is folks, what happens when you try to rush a reunion film without properly introducing the characters. Not as bad as Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice, but the final battle in Russia became a blur to me, and I would have fallen asleep if it was not for all that noise. Saving grace: Jason Momoa. I need an Aquaman in my life. Period.